KUALA LUMPUR (March 25): Total industry aggregate (TIV) for the automotive industry in Malaysia is accepted to abatement if the government decides to extend the movement ascendancy adjustment (MCO) above March 31.
CGS-CIMB Analysis declared that the accomplishing of the MCO resulted in best automakers briefly alternate their assembly lines, closing showrooms and account centres.
Given the MCO’s accessible addendum and all-embracing appeal slowdown, the analysis abode is alteration its 2020 TIV anticipation to 590,000 units, from 615,000 units previously.
“We alter bottomward our TIV anticipation for 2020F from 615,000 to 590,000, to reflect a 2.4% y-o-y (year-on-year) decline, as we activity 11% and 3% y-o-y sales aggregate drops for the non-national marques and Perodua (Perusahaan Otomobil Kedua Sdn Bhd), respectively,” CGS-CIMB noted.
As such, it prefers acknowledgment to auto players with able antithesis bedding such as Bermaz Auto Bhd, which had RM95 actor in net banknote at the end of January 2020.
The contempo abrasion of the ringgit is addition factor, as the analysis abode prefers auto players with almost low adopted barter acknowledgment amid non-national brands, such as Bermaz — which mostly sells locally-assembled completely-knocked bottomward models
“Bermaz is accurate by adorable 11.8-13.6% allotment yields for CY20-21F,” it said.
AmInvestment Bank Analysis additionally cut its 2020 TIV anticipation to 520,000 units, from 610,000 units previously, afterwards factoring in decidedly slower customer arbitrary spending on big admission items due to the accepted viral beginning that has resulted in macroeconomic uncertainties.
“We apprehend non-national carmakers to be impacted added than civic marques due to a bargain ability to acquirement pricier and added exceptional articles in the bosom of accepted uncertainties,” it said while acquainted that it was assured that Perodua and Proton Holdings Bhd will abide to affirm the auto area in 2020 as their articles are added adorable in appraisement and accommodate bigger amount for money.
Meanwhile, Kenanga Analysis accent that some automakers accept taken the MCO as a change for alternate aliment of their automotive plants, such as in the case of UMW Holdings Bhd.
“If there is no addendum [of the MCO], we apprehend college commitment of new models afterwards April 2020, (probably in the 2H20 afterwards the abhorrence inflicted by Covid-19 subsides), including the face-lifted Perodua Bezza, all-new Perodua ARUZ (entry-level SUV segment), Honda HR-V facelift (includes Hybrid), all-new Toyota Vios, all-new Toyota Yaris, all-new Proton X70 CKD (with a bordering amount abridgement for all archetypal ranges), face-lifted Proton Persona, Iriz, and Saga (X70 different features), face-lifted CX-5, all-new Mazda CX-8, all-new Mazda CX-30 (launched on Jan 15, 2020), all-new Honda Civic 2020, and all-new Accord 2020 (launched on Feb 26, 2020),” the analysis abode viewed.
AffinHwang Capital Analysis accent that February’s TIV fell by 5.3% month-on-month (m-o-m) to 40,403 units from 42,652 units in January due to lower commuter agent appeal and beneath alive days.
For the aboriginal two months of 2020 (2M20), TIV fell by 5.9% year-on-year (y-o-y) to 83,055 units due to lower commuter and bartering agent sales.
That said, civic car marques added its bazaar allotment to 66% in 2M20, from 56% in 2M19, on the aback of college sales from Proton, whose bazaar allotment rose by 8.5 allotment credibility to 22.3%.
Proton’s greater sales were apprenticed by appeal for its Saga, Persona and Exora models.
Perodua acquaint a 3% y-o-y abatement in 2M20, but still has the better block of the bazaar at 43.8% bazaar share.
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